Will at least one state that enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact withdraw from it by EOY 2035?
Basic
1
Ṁ42036
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
2% chance
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
2% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
26% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach it's quorum before 2035?
20% chance
Will at least one state secede from the USA before the year 2100?
41% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2028 election? [Res. PROB]
19% chance
[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
16% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
26% chance
Will at least one U.S. state eliminate or significantly restrict no-fault divorce by December 31, 2025?
22% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance