[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
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Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves positively if at least five reliable media sources report that states representing at least half of Electoral College votes have signed the NPVIC before 2030.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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