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Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
29% chance
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64% chance
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27% chance
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
34% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
41% chance
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53% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
35% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
38% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
27% chance
Will an AI Doomer turn to violence by the end of 2026?
31% chance