This will resolve to the title of the English article on Wikipedia that has the most pageviews in 2024.
Previous lists of most-popular English Wikipedia articles are available for 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, and 2015.
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PS Resolution source is based on this stat site, with updated daily and monthly data:
https://pageviews.wmcloud.org/topviews/?project=en.wikipedia.org&platform=all-access&date=last-year&excludes=
Can articles be added as an answer if they have not yet been created? Such as a hypothetical disaster or sudden event?
@thepurplebull Yes, but please ping me after such wiki page is created so I could change that answer to wiki title (if it's clear that both mean the same), since this market will resolve to actualy wiki titles
PS Resolution source is based on this stat site, with updated daily and monthly data:
https://pageviews.wmcloud.org/topviews/?project=en.wikipedia.org&platform=all-access&date=last-year&excludes=
Having "Other" as an option while also allowing new answers seems kind of weird.. Any options that are added now are basically taking from the pool of pages that 'Other' can represent.
@NicoDelon I will bet against other then, assuming whatever article it is will be popular enough for someone to add it to the list.
@KableK If you bet NO on other you will only recoup your investment if one of the already available options is picked. If you bet YES you’ll get shares on any new option ‘for free’. Unless you’re really confident no other possible option than those available could win, I don’t recommend betting NO.
@NicoDelon Oh I didn't know you can split bets out of 'Other' like that "for free". Also didn't know that if a new answer that is not split out of 'Other' yet wins it would make my bet against 'Other' not win. I am still pretty new to Manifold, thanks for the info.
I'm going to leave my bet as it is even though I understand it's not as good as I thought it was, just to see how it plays out and to better understand how the splitting works.