Who will be Manifold's 2024 Person of The Year?
➕
Plus
177
Ṁ14k
Jan 15
56%
Jimmy Carter
15%
Other
9%
Kamala Harris
4%
Steve Sokolowski
3%
Sam Altman
3%
Donald Trump
1.9%
Chuck Norris
1.8%
Jose Luis Ricon
1.5%
Joe Biden
1%
Elon Musk

This market will resolve to the winner of the poll "Who was Manifold's 2024 Person of the Year", that will be run by @itsTomekK on January 10-15th, 2025

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The top 15 names on December 31 from this market will be taken to the poll.

(unofficial)

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Ṁ1,000
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Jimmy Carter

I swear, I see his death markets fkn everywhere 💀💀💀

It’s not just you.

Jimmy Carter
bought Ṁ10 Jimmy Carter YES

Whether or not Jimmy rings in 2025, someone at Manifold will have a big day in 2024.

Please add @jim

bought Ṁ10 Jimmy Carter YES

Jimmy will stay alive and btfo the death betters, so my money is on him

What will be the description on the poll? Will it be "who does Manifold deem should be person of the year" or "who the person of the year for Manifold"? Or will it just be that question and left ambiguous?

it will be "Who was Manifold's 2024 Person of the Year", as voted by people, regardless of Manifold's team

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