![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fjune%252F3d9b59e64b9c.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
Mini
45
แน9.7k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
97%
Any Amazon employee
92%
Any OpenAI employee
91%
Any Meta employee
79%
Anyone who placed a bet in 2022, but not in 2023
78%
Any Apple employee
68%
Any Dell employee
67%
Any Goldman Sachs employee
62%
Anyone who spent at least 24 hours straight under 10% in this market (including "any"/"anyone" answers)
60%
Any Netflix employee
58%
Anyone who made a Manifold account after finding out about the site from Bet on Love
53%
Any employee (CEO not included) of Polymarket
52%
Any Lenovo employee
49%
Anyone 90 years old or older
49%
Any Current State Representative
45%
Any Huawei employee
39%
Julia Galef
36%
Any Tencent employee
36%
Nate Silver
35%
Any Sony employee
34%
Destiny
Will require some sort of proof/confirmation that it is the real user if their account is not marked as Verified.
Creating a limit order counts as making a bet.
The employee questions are for current employees only. Any employee can provide me proof privately for these questions. Please do not dox other users' employment.
If they placed a bet on Manifold during 2024 but before this market's creation, will still resolve YES when proven.
Ends at midnight EST on 31 December 2024.
Moderators are welcome to resolve any of these if I'm offline. No need to ping me.
Feel free to suggest more answers in the comments and I might add them!
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
bought แน388 Answer #bd39267f6923 YES
@june I work for Microsoft, so that resolves YES. Message me if you need my email address for verification.
Related questions
Who will be Manifold's 2024 Person of The Year?
Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (แน3,000 subsidy!)
61% chance
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
58% chance
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
21% chance
Will I be able to schedule bets on Manifold before 2025?
30% chance
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
48% chance
Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?
38% chance
Will there be an insider betting/ trading scandal on Manifold before the end of 2024?
36% chance