Will the electoral college winner differ from [Trump] the winner of the 2024 presidential election first called by AP?
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Resolves YES if the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College, or selected by Congress following the contingent election procedure, is different from the first person called by the Associated Press (AP) as the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise NO.

Some examples of scenarios that could potentially cause this result include, but are not limited to:

  • The call of the election winner is retracted / incorrect

  • The election winner dies, is incapacitated, or otherwise drops out

  • The election results are overturned in the states, courts, or Congress

  • Faithless electors change the results of the Electoral College

Details:

  • If there are e.g. technical glitches that result in AP erroneously posting a call that was not intended to be a call, this will not count as a call.

  • Otherwise, any call counts, even if immediately retracted.

  • Serving as Acting President is not the same as President and does not count as being inaugurated as President.

See also related market on whether the person inaugurated is different: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-president-inaugurated-be-d

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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related https://manifold.markets/DistinctlySkeptical/what-event-will-happen-first-trump-r157n7hx1q

What Event Will Happen First: Trump Elected, Harris Elected, "January 6th" Type Event (Both Biases Separate)
What Event Will Happen First: 1. Trump Elected & Inaugurated 2. Harris Elected & Inaugurated 3. "January 6th" Type Event (Harris / Democrat Bias) 5. "January 6th" Type Event (Trump Bias / Republican Bias) Each Question Resolves Either YES or NO Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First Others Will Resolve No If They Are Not The First Event That Occurs "January 6th" Type Event (For Either To Resolve Yes Or No). For this, it must be meet these 3 conditions Caused by False claims of 2024 presidential election fraud by Donald Trump and his Allies/Republicans. or Harris and her Allies/Democrats. Denial of the 2024 U.S. presidential election results Disrupt and delay the Electoral College vote count To Meet Elected: Harris must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated. Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated. MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET DISCLAIMER I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST. If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.

See also related market on whether the person inaugurated is different

: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-president-inaugurated-be-d

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