Will there be a junior-level coding assistant that can do unguided meaningful code contributions by 2028?
Plus
15
Ṁ3372028
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this market, the coding assistant must be able to:
Be given a description of a feature to implement or bug to resolve in a pre-existing repository of meaningful size (ex: enterprise product).
Without any further guidance other than asking clarification questions about the feature request be able to write the code and test it to the point where it would be considered "production ready".
Submit and successfully pass code review.
Please note this market:
Purposefully excludes small repositories precisely to ensure the challenge of identifying exactly where the code needs to be modified is there.
Will resolve to Yes regardless of whether the repository is polyglot or not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI system be able to fully refactor a 10k+ line codebase before 2026 ?
32% chance
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
61% chance
Will AI be able to generate non-trivial, original codebase in a compiled language (C++, Java, ...) before 2025?
23% chance
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
70% chance
Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?
77% chance
In 2028, will programmers usually be able to use GitHub Copilot and similar tools in interviews?
34% chance
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
75% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)
82% chance
By 2030, will over 50% of software development projects be primarily created by AI, with minimal human coding?
33% chance
Will I complete Practical Deep Learning for Coders in 2024?
57% chance