Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
Basic
12
1.7k
2040
84%
chance

If it's rated at least a six on the democracy index by the Economist Intelligence Unit, resolves YES.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?time=latest

If the Economist Intelligence Unit ceases to function I will choose another measurement after consulting with traders.

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