Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?
Plus
21
Ṁ18432034
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2024?
70% chance
Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
13% chance
Will democracy around the world continue to decline in 2024, according to Freedom House?
72% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
67% chance
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
36% chance
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
20% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
84% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance