Will an Ukrainian F-16 score an air-to-air kill of a manned Russian aircraft in 2024?
➕
Plus
97
Ṁ22k
Jan 1
9%
chance

Will there be public evidence that an Ukrainian piloted F-16 gains an air-to-air kill of a manned Russian aircraft or helicopter during 2024? This question excludes drone or unmanned vehicle kills.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Seems like a second unconfirmed kill. Despite no official confirmation, I believe that the "public evidence" threshold will be met in the next two months.

https://defence-blog.com/ukrainian-f-16-reportedly-shoots-down-second-russian-su-34/

@jonjordanc3f0 it is "a Ukrainian" not "an Ukranian". "Ukraine" starts with a Y sound, "yoo-cray-nee-in". To check if it's correct, just say it out loud and see if it sounds good

sold Ṁ93 NO

@CharlieGarcia interesting. Keeping some NO mostly for the case relevant evidence doesn't become public in time.

@CharlieGarcia possibile, but not yet confirmed: https://www.eurasiantimes.com/ukraines-f-16-or-patriot-hit-to-kill-missil/?amp

Aim120 has roughly the range of a patriot, and bombers are usually escorted.

Ukraine has has 1/10th of the f16 training that Poland pilots receive. It would be a risky action, but Ukraine is in a very tight spot rn.

IMHO needs confirmation.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules