Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?
Plus
10
Ṁ1712027
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve yes, I must complete any official full-distance Ironman event within the cutoff time. At the time of market creation, I'm quite a strong runner, a mediocre swimmer, and I can barely ride a bike. I will only bet YES on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@BrendanFinan I'm currently living in London, so probably Bolton, as I believe that's the only one in the UK. If I decide to commit to doing one then I'll look which ones are easily accessible on the Eurostar, but in general I don't want the headache of doing too much traveling with a bike.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I run a marathon in 2024?
5% chance
Will I complete a 5k race faster than 20 minutes before my 55th birthday (late Feb 2025)?
11% chance
Will I complete the Ultra Trail de Mont Blanc before 2027?
61% chance
Will I run a sub-20 5k before May 10, 2025?
50% chance
Will I bike 100 miles in a day by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will I run a ultramarathon by 2025?
68% chance
What types of races will I complete in 2024?
Will I run a marathon in 2024?
4% chance
Will I be able to do 15 pull-ups by end of
2024? (up from 4 in 2023)
70% chance
Will I run a half marathon in 2024?
9% chance