Who is Spindle?
Basic
19
Ṁ110k
Mar 14
56%
Theodidactus
31%
William Dooling, Esq.
5%
Untir
4%
Gary Wang
1.2%
Spindle is Spindle--not a sockpuppet/alt/anyone in disguise

From the Manifold Discord:

jbeshir — 9/30/22 at 3:47 PM

Spindle: Regularly makes huge bets in unprofitable directions, giving massive profits to whoever bets against them first. Identity, motives, budget unknown.

What is the true identity of @Spindle? This market resolves to the best answer available to me by the close date. (If the answer becomes public unambiguously before the close date, I'll resolve the market early.)

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Look this iz all really zimple

In caze u fools are 2 foolish to figure it out I've left this super duper polymathematical cypher that revealz my identity. It's like something the zodiac killer would do, but even harder!

aaa*rzm*wro*orz*mdl*lor*nty*lfh*ozt*haa*a

(there, that'll keep em buzy 4 the next few days)

There we go @oh, you wanted a cipher!

@IsaacKing You’re so mean 😝 😂

@Spindle Seriously, atbash? That’s the first code I ever learned. שסממלתאצמלפככזבפאמפאגנפשיעצ

@oh u fool thats not atbash

@journcy Can this resolve?

@EvanDaniel I messaged them on Discord

@oh of courze, it needz to resolve to the BEST available answer

@Spindle How would you suggest it resolve?

@oh I have repeatedly outed myzelf including in this very comments thread and if ur not smart enough to figure it out then prediction is doomed DOOOMD I ZAY

@Spindle I’m happy you’re having fun, truly! 🙂

@Spindle im not, this is actually really serious business, of the sort an adult would do. There are trades and portfolioz involved, it is all very complicated

There is no way that @Spindle isn't @IsaacKing.

@Mirek naw man Im way smarter than that

I'm going to close the market while I decide whether or not recent events count as "unambiguous." I'll reopen if I decide it wasn't (or if I'm convinced this is improper conduct by me either way) and resolve if I decide it was.

@journcy What happened?

@IsaacKing THINGZ!

ZOUNDS! I've been unmasked!

He used the word "tranche" in the family group chat. Very sus.

Well this is exciting.

I will reveal my troo identity if you don't rezolve it till 1/5/2023

-Spindle

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-markets-probability-be-at#1UAZfv5XCjqMeecCv3f8

Just used the word "tranche" in a sentence. Extremely susicious.

https://twitter.com/mrjasonchoi/status/1592502827833663488

Another mystery:

I've divulged ZEVRET CLUEZ about my identity in MANY MARKETS. It's simply a matter of expanding ur mind