Will a cancer therapy approved by the FDA before 2027 successfully cure >1 cancer type? | Manifold

Will a cancer therapy approved by the FDA before 2027 successfully cure >1 cancer type?

Basic

5

Ṁ59

2031

63%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves based on expert consensus at the time of market resolution. Requires that a sufficient amount of evidence accumulates demonstrating that the therapy effectively prevents certain cancer types from harming those who take the therapy in any way.

While select therapies may already be approved that meets these conditions, this question is specifically related to an approval within the start and end date of the market.

By "cure", I mean that the cancer can be treated in a relatively harmless procedure (such as an oral drug), resulting in complete remission for almost all patients (~80%).

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I'm confused what you mean by "cure", can you explain more?

There are a number of existing FDA approved treatments that already result in complete recovery for some patients across a number of cancer types.

@EthanFast By "cure", I mean that the cancer can be treated in a relatively harmless procedure (such as an oral drug), resulting in complete remission. I should clarify this in the description. I am trying to add a more general question to the AOH1996 markets.

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