Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?
➕
Plus
45
Ṁ4327
2031
16%
chance

Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached. This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2031.

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The cohorts considered in these studies must be statistically representative of that country's population.

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I think we'll have cured a lot more cancers than currently but we certainly won't have cured all known ones yet

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