How many seats will the Scottish National Party (SNP) win in Scotland at the next UK general election?
Mini
12
Ṁ16k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.2%
0–4
98%
5–9
0.4%
10–14
0.2%
15–19
0.2%
20–24
0.1%
25–29
0.1%
30–34
0.2%
35–39
0.2%
40–44
0.2%
45–49
0.2%
50 or more
At the 2019 general election, the SNP were the largest party in Scotland, winning 48 out of 59 seats with 45% of the vote (compared to 56 seats in 2015 and 35 in 2017). However, since then, they have declined in the polls, losing ground to Scottish Labour. This market resolves to the number of seats the party wins in Scotland at the next general election (which will be held in January 2025 or earlier). Note that due to boundary changes, the number of parliamentary constituencies in Scotland is decreasing from 59 to 57. Any MPs listed as "SNP" on the ballot count, even if they are suspended from the party at the time of the election (as was the case with Neale Hanvey in 2019).
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