Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
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107
Ṁ11kDec 1
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Ted Cruz, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party switches after the election are not important; what matters is how the candidate appears on the ballot.
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