Will resolve for the numbers listed here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IeO7NIgZ-qfSTDyiAFSgH6dMn1xzb6hB2pVSdlBJZ88/edit#gid=771773474
Post:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZbaDmowkXbTBsxvHn/historical-ea-funding-data#Observations
Funding for 2022 is estimated at $740.9M, including a FTX position of $157.0M.
The estimate for 2023 at close will be used for resolution.
I will treat the spreadsheet as the single source of truth, intentional-looking modifications to the spreadsheet (e.g., include/exclude orgs) will most likely be reflected in the market resolution. I might postpone the resolution to wait for things looking like bugs/typos to clear up.
I will resolve to N/A in case of severe problems (e.g., spreadsheet has no estimate and no longer maintained in 2023).
I will not trade on this market.