Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ2912027
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Counts their total donations added up across their entire lifetime and all EA charities. (Converted to USD at the effective conversion rate at the time of the donation.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@TomShlomi If they share finances, then it counts. If they maintain separate finances, then it must be a single person.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
30% chance
Will a significant portion of Jeff Bezos charitable projects be EA aligned?
18% chance
Will there be any new EA billionaires by 2027?
79% chance
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
74% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
14% chance
Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
22% chance
Will Manifold have raised $1M USD or more for charity by EOY 2026?
53% chance
Will the Against Malaria Foundation reach $1 billion raised by the end of 2026?
49% chance