By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned? | Manifold

By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?

Plus

12

Ṁ363

2029

32%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently 28% of transgender youth live in states where best-practice medical care for transgender youth is banned, as reported by LGBT MAP: https://www.lgbtmap.org/equality-maps/healthcare_youth_medical_care_bans

Movement Advancement Project | Health Care / Bans on Best Practice Medical Care for Transgender Youth

The policies depicted in this map reflect statewide bans, limitations, or restrictions on access to best practice medical care for transgender youth. Bans on best practice medical care represent one of the most extreme—and coordinated—political attacks on transgender people in recent years.

If the above source stops reporting data at resolution time, data from Human Rights Campaign (https://www.hrc.org/resources/attacks-on-gender-affirming-care-by-state-map) will be used, or other similarly credible source.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

In Texas, will there be a high-profile case of a transgender child being separated from their parents before 2025?

Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?

What will be the result of U.S. v. Skrmetti (ban on gender affirming care for trans youth)?

Will SB49 (Restricts gender-affirming care for minors among other things) be in effect in Missouri in 2025?

Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Related questions

Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?

Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]

In Texas, will there be a high-profile case of a transgender child being separated from their parents before 2025?

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?

Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

What will be the result of U.S. v. Skrmetti (ban on gender affirming care for trans youth)?

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Will SB49 (Restricts gender-affirming care for minors among other things) be in effect in Missouri in 2025?

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules