How many billion-dollar climate disasters will affect the United States in 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ967Jan 9
1%
27
3%
28
3%
29
22%
30
71%
Resolved via https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/
In 2023 it was 28. See /knowledgeispower/by-the-end-of-2023-how-many-billion .
Close date might be extended if the NCEI publication isn't available yet. It was Jan 9th for the previous year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@DavidFWatson Yes, eventually. I trying to figure out in which direction though. Currently, it seems people would rather bet on higher numbers. Added "30" for now.
@marktwse So, that's not unreasonable, but perhaps going forward you might create further answers as ranges? So like: 20-26 and 31-35?
Related questions
Related questions
Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?
9% chance
Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
33% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
21% chance
How many Hurricanes in 2024?
Is there gonna be more than eight hurricanes in US in 2024?
6% chance
What will be the total cost of US extreme weather disasters in 2024?
What categories of hurricanes will hit the US in the 2024 season?
Will a flood cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
37% chance
Will a winter storm cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
41% chance
[Climate Change] How much global warming will we have by the end of 2024?
1.3