Which of these (relatively) young and healthy members will be in Congress last (not longest)! Once someone loses reelection, or resigns from Congress, they are officially eliminated (effective at the end of their term or resignation date). If someone dies, they are immediately eliminated. Whoever is the last one standing will be the winner.
People can switch Congressional districts, or chambers of Congress, but they must hold roles in consecutive terms to not be eliminated. If someone leaves Congress and later returns, they are still eliminated.
Market will extend as needed.
Rashida is so popular in her district that even AIPAC isn’t trying to unseat her. And they HATE her. Her odds should be the odds of her resigning in disgust/contempt.
@ShakedKoplewitz true but senators are less susceptible to fluctuations in the political environment due to their 6-year terms. the average House member has to run 3x as many campaigns and still has to win every one. a senator can get lucky and avoid the odd wave election that would normally wipe them out
@pyrylium It should be noted that Senate incumbents have a significantly lower re-election rate than House incumbents per cycle (83% vs 93%)