Context (from 2018): George W. Bush's favorable rating has pulled a complete 180
George W. Bush's favorable rating has grown from 33% to 61% since he left office
Bush holds a majority favorable rating among every demographic group but liberals
Six in 10 Americans, 61%, say they now have a favorable view of the 43rd President of the United States in the latest CNN poll conducted by SSRS, nearly double the 33% who gave him a favorable mark when he left the White House in January 2009.
In the 10 years after George Bush left office, his approval rating soared. Will Trump see a similar boon a decade after his political departure?
Will it be because President MTG makes Donald look like a genius? Will the US history books become so partisan that Trump is taught as a saint?
When/how will this be assessed?
Trump will need to see similar gains in favorability across all demographics. His approval rating should rise by >=20% in aggregate. Liberals don’t need to necessary approve of him in aggregate, but there still should be gains across leftist groups.
If Donald Trump’s final political campaign is in the 2024 election, and he loses, this will be assessed in November 2034.
If Donald Trump’s final political campaign is in the 2024 election, and he wins, this will be assessed in November 2038 (or ten years following his death - if while in office).
If Donald Trump runs in 2028, this will be pushed back to 2038 (at the earliest).