These options resolve YES if the candidate who is announced as the winner of the 2024 election says the exact sequence of words during their first speech after the election is called by at least 2 major US newspapers.

If there’s any doubt, I will be using the official transcript as the canonical source.

Please don’t add short words like “and”, “a”, “the”, “of”, “with”…etc. I reserve the right to Resolve any as N/A if the word itself is just a preposition, an article, or another insignificant word. If in doubt, feel free to DM me or leave a comment to be sure. You can add multiple words in an answer, but be sure to add “quotation marks” around each discrete answer and either “and” or “or” to signify if all or any (respectively) must be said.

• This will follow the same rules as the Trump-isms Debate Megamarket—see the original market for more detailed resolution examples (stolen from @Ziddletwix).

• You can add your own responses, but note (1) I intend to be strict with resolution (following the rules below), & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.

  • See the prop bets market for more flexible options.

• Resolution might take a few days because I'd like to consult the transcript.

• This will likely close before the debate to return liquidity to submitters.

Resolution examples:

• Needs to be exact same words (in order): "laughing at all of us" does not count for "laughing at us".

• Needs to match tense & pluralization: "winner", "won", or "winnings" do not count for "winning", and "Project 2025's ideas" doesn't count for "Project 2025".

• However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions count as the expanded words ("what's" is equivalent to "what is").

• An abbreviation is its own word: "MAGA" does not match "Make America Great Again", "LGBT" does not match "LGBTQ".

• Saying a word as a portion of another word will not count, so “Obamacare” would not count for “Obama” or visa-versa. “The Ohio State University” would count for Ohio.

• Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" matches "January sixth".

• To add flexibility to an answer, use parentheses or an "or". So " 'Free lunch(es)' or 'school lunch(es)' " matches "free lunches", "school lunch", & etc.