Basic
50
2.7k
Dec 16
47%
chance
The United States elected it's first non white president in 2008 with Barack Obama. Will the United States do it again in 2024 Mar 17, 12:28am: Just so we are clear this also includes White Hispanic/Latinos Mar 17, 3:47pm: Whatever race the victor self-identifies as is what is used for the purpose of this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

is orange a shade of white?

Does Nikki Haley count as nonwhite?

@ShakedKoplewitz actually even if she does, we're currently at 6% on her to be the nominee and 10% for Harris. If we assume each of them has 50% to win a GE, that's about 8% overall. I guess you could make up the gap with a dark horse candidate?

So for the purposes of this market, half white = not white? What % qualifies someone as 'white'?
Not used to this new system where you can't sell shares directly!
For starters, Biden and Trump are the frontrunners, and both are.