Will either of the Hard Fork hosts make new predictions on Manifold in 2024?
Basic
7
Ṁ205Jan 1
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At the end of 2023, Casey and Kevin made a series of predictions about 2024 on their podcast, and made markets for them here on Manifold. Will they do the same in 2024?
Resolves YES if, in connection to the Hard Fork podcast, Casey Newton and/or @KevinRoose18ac (through this account or another) make (at least) a single prediction market on Manifold before the end of 2024; Resolves NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
Will the Hard Fork podcast use any Manifold Market as the basis for a main story in 2024?
13% chance
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2024?
Who will grant funding to Manifold in 2024?
Who will own Manifold at the end of 2024?
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024, according to Manifold users?
Will Hard Fork continue running with the same two hosts at the end of 2024?
97% chance
Will there be a play-money Manifold fork by 2025-04-23?
80% chance
Will Manifold still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
97% chance