Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
Plus
87
Ṁ15kin 17 hours
98%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Kamala Harris wins New York state by 10.0% (or more).
See Polymarket for a market on the same value.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Previous results in New York:
2020: Biden +23
2016: Clinton +22
2012: Obama +28
2008: Obama +27
2004: Kerry +18
2000: Gore +25
1996: Clinton +29
1992: Clinton +16
1988: Dukakis +4
opened aṀ1,000NO at 50% order
Related: my question asking about a 20-point win: https://manifold.markets/MichaelEdgar/will-kamala-harris-win-the-new-york
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris get 10 million more popular vote
11% chance
Will Kamala win New York by >8 points?
92% chance
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 election and will she get over 90 million votes?
3% chance
Will Kamala Harris win Iowa?
2% chance
Will Kamala Harris win North Carolina?
1% chance
Which state will Kamala win by the largest margin?
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Will Kamala win the electoral vote in all of the swing states?
1% chance
Which states will Kamala Harris win in 2024?
Will Kamala Harris flip a state but lose the election?
10% chance