In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi? | Manifold

In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?

Basic

10

Ṁ130

2031

2%

2024

11%

2025

62%

2026

6%

2027

4%

2028

4%

2029

10%

Later

The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber. A fully self-driving car which is not marketed as a taxi service will not count.

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If a software update is pushed to existing Teslas allowing owners to "rent out" their Teslas as self-driving robotaxis, but no new vehicle is released, will that be sufficient to resolve to yes?

Yes, so long as the coverage is as general as Uber/Lyft.

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Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2025?

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