Will the 2024 Presidential Election call be delayed due to ranked choice tabulations?
Basic
5
Ṁ360Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Maine (any district or statewide) or Alaska is the last uncalled state, and could bring a candidate from under 270 electoral votes to over 270 votes, resolves Yes.
If no candidate has 270 EVs, and one candidate could receive 270 due to Maine or Alaska, and one of those states is the last to count, resolves Yes.
Only delays that are partially a result of ranked choice voting would count. This typically means that all ballots are required to be in a centralized location.
Hamiltonian/Faithless electors will not affect the outcome of this market.
Decision desk sources are AP, Fox News, CNN, NBC, CBS, ABC, and DDHQ. If any of the listed decision desk calls fulfills the requirements of this market, resolves yes.
I will not trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will ranked choice voting be relevant in the 2024 presidential election?
3% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election be contested?
18% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election result be disputed?
8% chance
Will the 2024 election be closer than 2020?
7% chance
Will RCV affect the outcome of the 2024 Presidential Election?
1% chance
How will the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided?
Will the certification of the U.S. presidential election be delayed by more than 24 hours due to unrest or challenges?
13% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
8% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
8% chance
Will there be a statewide recount of votes for the 2024 US presidential election?
65% chance