Will JD Vance be elected President in 2028?
Basic
9
Ṁ274
2028
27%
chance

Update: Trump won so this market is no longer conditional.

If Trump (or any other politician nominated by the Republican party) doesn't win the Presidential election in 2024, this question resolves to N/A.

This question resolves YES if J. D. Vance wins the 2028 Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated as President (due to illness, etc). Resolves NO if someone else wins the election.

Important: this market is for the 2028 election!

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Looks like this market is now in business! Renamed the title.

Nate Silver has a relevant chart:

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