Will the Unfolding Atlas substack post more than the Experience Machines substack in 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ331Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
(FYI: I write Unfolding Atlas!)
This should be a close one.
On the one hand: Experience Machines posted 24 times last year while Unfolding Atlas posted three times; Experience Machines is betting thousands of mana on publishing twice per month for the whole year; and Experience Machines has already made two posts this year, while Unfolding Atlas just posted its first.
On the other hand: I'm very competitive.
I'm not going to set certain criteria for what kind of posts count (i.e. no minimum length or quality). But I'm taking this seriously; I'm not going to post crap just to out-publish Rob.
I will bet on this market, but I'll only bet "Yes".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
99% chance
Will I have 10 Substack posts by the end of 2024?
52% chance
Will I publish at least 30 Substack posts in 2024?
75% chance
Will the Vienna Hypersphere publish >1 post on Substack or LW before 2025?
61% chance
Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?
41% chance
Will I write another Above the Fold: Manifold Politics newsletter in 2024?
69% chance
Will Substack articles with lots of comments be usable by the end of 2024?
46% chance
Will Substack support inline Tex by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?
50% chance
Will I have more than 120 Substack subscribers by the end of the year?
49% chance