Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
Plus
35
Ṁ20232026
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://x.com/i/trending/1855048532660830307
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves "Yes" if Sam Altman’s prediction that AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) will be achieved by 2025 is confirmed, with AGI development publicly acknowledged by reputable sources or Altman himself by the end of 2025. Otherwise, the market resolves "No."
Resolution Date & Time:
Expected resolution on December 31, 2025, by 23:59 PT.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
42% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
62% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before 2025?
2% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
29% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
32% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
55% chance