Will the next president die while in office?
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30
Ṁ32162029
23%
chance
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1W
1M
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For the purpose of this market "next president" is the president elected in 2024 (and thus could be President Biden).
Market is not impacted if Biden dies before starting his second term - the relevant president would be the person who starts that term.
Resolves to no if the next president resigns or is removed, even if they then die before their term would have ended.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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