What will be the Ted Cruz's margin of victory in the 2024 United States Senate election in Texas? | Manifold

What will be the Ted Cruz's margin of victory in the 2024 United States Senate election in Texas?

Basic

10

Ṁ1305

Nov 6

1.3%

<0 (DEM pick-up)

0.6%

<1

0.6%

<2

0.9%

<3

1.5%

<4

3%

<5

2%

<6

1.5%

<7

88%

>=7

Resolves based on the official election result from the Texas SoS. To clarify: If it's say 1.0, this market resolves <2.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#2024 US Election

#US Congressional Elections 2024

#2024 US Senate Election

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1,000

and

3.00

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bought Ṁ300 >=7 YES

Currently +10: Texas U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Cruz vs. Allred - The New York Times

bought Ṁ50 <5 NO

@sarius i’m assuming only one will resolve, so <6 is actually [5, 6)

yep :)

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