Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
Plus
28
Ṁ5472030
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Refer to the winners of /singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a
This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2030. Here are the names:
Ilya Sutskever
Yann LeCun
Andrej Karpathy
Yoshua Bengio
Geoffrey Hinton
Jürgen Schmidhuber
Alec Radford
Paul Christiano
Demis Hassabis
Eliezer Yudkowsky
The statement needs to be unambiguous and officially given by the person. Twitter is fine, but private conversations don't count.
I won't be betting in this market.
Related markets:
/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl
/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-cb787d497aeb
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028?
42% chance
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2026?
22% chance
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
29% chance
Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?
25% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
35% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
5% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
35% chance
If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
80% chance