5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? | Manifold

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will the poll asking if it will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024 actually reach 500 responses by EOY 2024?

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59

Ṁ23k

Jan 1

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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#Manifold Users

#500 Poll Experiment

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bought Ṁ50 YES

82 days and we’re at 57%

@jks people all want it to be close

reposted

poll at 55% currently

The tendency to follow this trend still amazes me

@chris is it still following that trend

39% done

Amazing how close to the trend line this follows.

bought Ṁ415 NO

@chris Still following the trendline?

@Gameknight Definitely not

31%

22%

reposted

poll just hit 20%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 31%

reposted

18% complete now with 10+ months to go

poll is 14% complete now

reposted

the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go,

Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5

reposted

the poll is 8% of the way to 500 in just 5 days 🤔

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