How many times will Electron launch this year?
Basic
6
Ṁ1166
Jan 1
98.5%
<= 16 launches
98.5%
<= 24 launches
1.4%
> 24 launches
Resolved
NO
<= 8 launches

Only successful, orbital launches (no HASTE) will count. Up to EOD Dec 31 2024, local time wherever the launch takes place.

Electron had 8 successful orbital launches in 2023.

As of March 21 2024, Electron has completed 4 launches this year, and there are 20 more planned.

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Looking like 14 launches this year, though I'll wait until the new year to resolve just in case.

2025 market is up! https://manifold.markets/table8473/how-many-times-will-electron-launch-dQg8AI6lEQ?play=true

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