Will Trump increase its tariffs on Canada to 50% or higher by June 30th?
17
100Ṁ701Jul 1
14%
chance
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Background
On February 1st, 2025, President Trump implemented a 25% tariff on imports from Canada, with a lower 10% tariff on Canadian energy resources. The executive orders include provisions for potential increases if Canada retaliates against these measures.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if:
The U.S. government officially announces or implements tariffs of 50% or higher on Canadian imports (excluding specific carve-outs) that take effect on or before June 30th, 2025
The increased tariffs must apply broadly to Canadian imports, not just to specific products or sectors
This market will resolve NO if:
No such increase is announced or implemented by June 30th, 2025
Announced increases don't reach the 50% threshold
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