Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
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Dec 31
17%
chance

Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.

This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.

If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.

If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.

If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.

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That is extremely remarkable news, the tax increase is too strong @Geometry Dash can also affect people's lives.

Why stop at 60%?

He has also said “100, 200, 2000% tariffs”

https://youtu.be/0v0el2_4yWw?si=FzGnt6ifUCoG4_mz

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