Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
10
100Ṁ259
2026
59%
chance

Will resolve YES if any tariffs that were enacted by Trump against Canada this year remain at 25% or higher at the end of 2025

  • Update 2025-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Timing

    • Final Check: The tariff status will be evaluated only at the end of 2025.

    • Interim Fluctuations: Any changes or pauses during the year are not considered in the final resolution.

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By "remain" at 25% or higher, do you meant continuously, or just that you will check at the end of 2025? All the tariffs might get paused for a day and then come back, or get switched from one good to another.

@UnconditionalProbability Will check at end of 2025 for final status regardless of any interim fluctuations

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