AI "devops" #1: Will there be an AI that can onboard as a dev by 2028?
Basic
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2028
62%
chance

Here is the onboarding scenario I'm envisioning:

  • The AI is put on a laptop/desktop/workstation that it has root permissions on

  • It's given access to a shared work chat (Slack, Discord, whatever) where it can ask questions/request additional permissions/etc

  • It needs to setup a workstation that can pull, build, and edit at least one of the org's primary codebases.

  • It needs to make one accepted pull request (or equivalent concept).

  • The workstation can be the local machine or a cloud instance

  • Time limit of five business days.

In short: an AI that can go through the onboarding process for a software engineer.

Caveats:

  • Resolves NO if no one tries to do this (which seems reasonably likely)

  • The pull request does not need to be interesting or important. A "hello world" PR is fine.

  • YES does not require that an AI be as good at this as a human engineer, but it can't be significantly specialized for one environment. It needs to work with at least three different environments (e.g. setup Python locally, setup typescript on AWS, and C++ on Azure).

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Does it just need to have the ability, or does there need to be a company that actually attempts to utilize it honestly?

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