Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
Plus
4
Ṁ2302029
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?
Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.
If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
40% chance
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
44% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
80% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
11% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
20% chance
Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
56% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Economic impact of AI advances - through what industry will AI have the biggest economic impact in 2024?
Will the AI hype crash soon? (before the end of 2025)
24% chance
Will 3 Big AI Companies lose 10% of market cap in a single day (AI Bubble Pop) by 2025?
5% chance