Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?
Plus
26
Ṁ20832030
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The ARC AGI Prize is a $1,000,000+ public competition aimed at advancing research in artificial general intelligence (AGI) by developing open-source solutions for the ARC-AGI benchmark, which measures the ability to acquire new skills and solve novel problems, unlike current AI models that rely on memorization. The competition encourages a variety of approaches, such as discrete program searches and LLM-based strategies, with the goal of achieving 85% accuracy on the benchmark, reflecting substantial progress towards AGI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2025?
60% chance
Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
40% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2026?
53% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2027?
78% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
68% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
55% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
67% chance