IEM UREP24_VS: Republican share of the two-party popular vote in the 2024 Presidential election
Basic
3
Ṁ28Jan 24
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve PROB exactly like the UREP24_VS asset traded in the Iowa Electronic Markets. See here for the detailed prospectus: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_prospectus/2024-u-s-presidential-vote-share-market/ You can see it’s current (real money) trading price here: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_market_info/pres24_vs/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
IEM UDEM24_VS: Democratic share of the two-party popular vote in the 2024 Presidential election
49% chance
What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
Will Republicans win the popular vote in the 2024 US House Elections?
35% chance
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
How will the 2024 election popular vote compare to the polls? (2-party, 538)
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote?
99% chance
How big will the Republican Electoral College advantage be in 2024?
What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Republican Party nominee in 2024 or 2028?