United nations - will it stand by 2040?
Basic
21
Ṁ4.7k2040
1D
1W
1M
ALL
88%
Remains without any contender organization
15%
It still exists, but members are less than 60% of the recognized countries or contain less than 60% of world population, and there are no contender organizations that meet these criteria
13%
Remains existing, but there is/are other organization thay claim the same missions, and have membership of at least 60% of the countries that represent at least 60% of total human population, present on all continents
5%
Disbanded, and there is no alternate organization which achieves global concensus (present on all continents, at least 60% of recognized countries are members, and they represent 60% of human population)
5%
Disbanded and replaced with another organization (the League of Nations trajectory) that achives worldwide acceptance
3%
Remains, and Its UPGRADED, covering 99% of habitable earth and maintaining high conflict resolution capabilities
If there are other feasible trajectories feel free to add them. If there are duplicates or some other non logical offered options, i reserve the right to remove them or to resolve them to NA
Remains and it s upgraded : the current institution preserves its form, and it becomes the main mediator in then existing conflicts, with monopoly over international military missions / conduct
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Remains existing, but there is/are other organization thay claim the same missions, and have membership of at least 60% of the countries that represent at least 60% of total human population, present on all continents
@3d Maybe in the event of a new cold war, where one power block includes 60% of population and countries.
It could still be the only one existing but fail to meet the membership criteria you set in other options.
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