This question seeks to predict whether the State of Israel, through an official government source, will declare victory over Hamas within the year 2024. For the purposes of this market, a declaration of victory refers to a formal, public statement made by a recognized authority within the Israeli government, such as the Prime Minister or the Ministry of Defense.
Winning Conditions:
The market resolves positively if, at any time during the year 2024, an official statement is released by a recognized authority of the Israeli government (e.g., the Prime Minister, the Ministry of Defense) explicitly declaring victory over Hamas. The statement must unambiguously state that Israel has achieved victory, using terms such as "defeated Hamas" or "Israel is victorious over Hamas." The source of the statement must be verifiable and recognized as an official channel of the Israeli government. If no such statement is made in the year 2024, the market resolves negatively.
@AmirKrispin Katz said:
“I am sure that we will achieve victory in this campaign whose goals are to curb Iranian aggression and negate its capabilities, to continue the dismantling of Hamas as a governing and military force, and to defeat Hezbollah,” according to The Times of Israel (https://www.timesofisrael.com/katz-formally-replaces-gallant-as-defense-minister-holds-assessment-with-security-chiefs)
Could you please provide a source for your quote.
@AdamCod I could not find a source in english, here is from ynet news (a mainstream news site in israel)
In the linl there is a video of katz speech where he says "We defeated hamas from an orginazational prespective. There is some guerilla..."
@AmirKrispin the official @Israel X account posted today “Hezbollah and Hamas are trying to harm as many innocent civilians as possible. We’ll do whatever it takes to defend the people of Israel.”