Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024
Plus
75
Ṁ12kDec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will be resolved as yes if there will be a mass media report of the death of the supreme leader of Iran, no matter of cause
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@ArashArbabi Natural causes in this period are quite unlikely and it would be impossible to determine whether Israel had their hand in killing him with that.
Related market I put up which can extend later: https://manifold.markets/LiamZ/-will-iranian-leadership-or-israeli
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31, 2024?
99% chance
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2024?
2% chance
[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
3% chance
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
41% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
4% chance