Who will win the race for Mayor of San Francisco in November 2024?
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39
Ṁ30k
Dec 2
3%
London Breed
0.1%
Ahsha Safai
95%
Daniel Lurie
0.4%
Aaron Peskin
1.3%
Mark Farrell
0.2%
Other

Feel free to add markets for other contenders if relevant.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#San Francisco
#California
#Mayoral Elections in the 50 largest U.S. cities
#YIMBY
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bought Ṁ201 Mark Farrell YES

Arb opportunity here with 4K subsidy
https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/who-will-the-san-francisco-mayoral

With the SF Dems for Change winning the DCCC last night, it seems likely that Breed will have the backing of the SF Democratic Party. I think that makes her election substantially more likely.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/mayor-london-breed-election-18678601.php

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