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If Inflation is below 5% in 2024, Who will win the presidential election? (Biden or Trump)
Basic
19
แน2.7k2025
Donald Trump57%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Inflation is below 5% in 2024 and the candidate wins the 2024 presidential election
Resolves NA if Inflation is above 5% an any month
Resolves NA if someone other than Trump or Biden wins the election
Inflation number according to:
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
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