Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats in generic ballot polls on...
Standard
15
แน€5517
Jan 1
29%
November 1st?
10%
October 1st?

For every date that's an answer, I will check https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/2024/ at 9PM ET, and resolve that date YES if Republicans are ahead, and NO if Democrats are ahead.

If it's even, I'll resolve to the corresponding color of even (e.g., if it's a blue even, I'll resolve NO).

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bought แน€450 August 1st? NO

@AndrewG I think July 1, July 4 and August 1 can resolve No as well.

bought แน€250 April 1st? NO

@AndrewG April and May should resolve NO